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Department of Mathematical Sciences, Unit Catalogue 2011/12


MA50089: Applied probability & finance

Click here for further information Credits: 6
Click here for further information Level: Masters UG & PG (FHEQ level 7)
Click here for further information Period: Semester 2
Click here for further information Assessment: CW 25%, EX 75%
Click here for further information Supplementary Assessment: Like-for-like reassessment (where allowed by programme regulations)
Click here for further information Requisites:
Click here for further information Description: Aims & Learning Objectives:
Aims:
To develop and apply the theory of probability and stochastic processes to examples from finance and economics. To facilitate an in-depth understanding of the topic.
Objectives: At the end of the course, students should be able to:
* formulate mathematically, and then solve, dynamic programming problems;
* price an option on a stock modelled by the exponential of a random walk;
* perform simple calculations involving properties of Brownian motion;
* demonstrate an in-depth understanding of the topic.

Content:
Dynamic programming: Markov decision processes, Bellman equation; examples including consumption/investment, bid acceptance, optimal stopping. Infinite horizon problems; discounted programming, the Howard Improvement Lemma, negative and positive programming, simple examples and counter-examples. Option pricing for random walks: Arbitrage pricing theory, prices and discounted prices as Martingales, hedging. Brownian motion: Introduction to Brownian motion, definition and simple properties.Exponential Brownian motion as the model for a stock price, the Black-Scholes formula.
Click here for further informationProgramme availability:

MA50089 is Optional on the following programmes:

Department of Mathematical Sciences
NB. Programmes and units are subject to change at any time, in accordance with normal University procedures.