University of Bath

Assessing the final stage of Brexit negotiations and their implications for the UK and the EU

Deal or no deal? In this lecture, guest speakers will discuss the most likely outcomes from the Brexit negotiations and their impacts for the UK and the EU.

18 Oct 20181.15pm
18 Oct 20182.05pm
European Union flag with the Union Jack as wings
The United Kingdom is due to the leave the European Union 29 March 2019

The International Relations and European Politics Group invites you to a very timely event focusing on the most likely outcomes from the Brexit negotiations and their impacts for the United Kingdom (UK) and the European Union (EU).

This session will feature cutting edge insights from our guest speaker, legal expert on EU trade agreements Dr Clair Gammage (University of Bristol) and Department of Politics, Languages & International Studies experts Dr Nicholas Startin and Dr Maria Garcia. The event will also take place in parallel with the next decisive European Council Summit, widely considered a deadline for the negotiations.

At this stage, the UK and the EU still appear to be far from an agreement, making a mutually damaging ‘no deal’ scenario increasingly likely. Considerable gaps between each side remain on fundamental aspects of the UK’s proposed Chequers plan. However, if a last-minute deal is reached, we still face the prospect of it being rejected by Westminster and a no-deal scenario. Rebel Conservative MPs maintain that a so-called ‘Canada plus’ Free Trade Agreement (FTA) should be pursued in place of the Chequers plan, while Corbyn’s Labour have threatened to vote down the chequers plan and trigger a general election.

Within the context of these unpredictable dynamics, we are faced with the following questions: How credible is the Chequers Plan for each side and can it be the basis of an agreement? What would a no-deal scenario or ‘Canada Plus’ FTA encompass for Brexit? What would the implications be for the EU and UK in each of these outcomes?

Addressing these questions, our session will begin with short presentations by the event’s two speakers. Firstly, Dr Clair Gammage will provide us with legal insights into the EU and UK positions on the Chequers Plan along with the viability and implications of a no deal scenario or Canada plus FTA. Thereafter, Dr Nicholas Startin will address the political impact of these possible outcomes of the Brexit negotiations, including the consequences for the UK’s Conservative and Labour parties, EU member states’ polities and the future of the EU itself. Dr Maria Garcia, as the session’s discussant, will then respond to the two presentations before the remainder of the session is dedicated to an interactive Q&A session between the audience and the panel.