The International Relations and European Politics Group invites you to a very timely event focusing on the most likely outcomes from the Brexit negotiations and their impacts for the United Kingdom (UK) and the European Union (EU).
This session will feature cutting edge insights from our guest speaker, legal expert on EU trade agreements Dr Clair Gammage (University of Bristol) and Department of Politics, Languages & International Studies experts Dr Nicholas Startin and Dr Maria Garcia. The event will also take place in parallel with the next decisive European Council Summit, widely considered a deadline for the negotiations.
At this stage, the UK and the EU still appear to be far from an agreement, making a mutually damaging ‘no deal’ scenario increasingly likely. Considerable gaps between each side remain on fundamental aspects of the UK’s proposed Chequers plan. However, if a last-minute deal is reached, we still face the prospect of it being rejected by Westminster and a no-deal scenario. Rebel Conservative MPs maintain that a so-called ‘Canada plus’ Free Trade Agreement (FTA) should be pursued in place of the Chequers plan, while Corbyn’s Labour have threatened to vote down the chequers plan and trigger a general election.
Within the context of these unpredictable dynamics, we are faced with the following questions: How credible is the Chequers Plan for each side and can it be the basis of an agreement? What would a no-deal scenario or ‘Canada Plus’ FTA encompass for Brexit? What would the implications be for the EU and UK in each of these outcomes?
Addressing these questions, our session will begin with short presentations by the event’s two speakers. Firstly, Dr Clair Gammage will provide us with legal insights into the EU and UK positions on the Chequers Plan along with the viability and implications of a no deal scenario or Canada plus FTA. Thereafter, Dr Nicholas Startin will address the political impact of these possible outcomes of the Brexit negotiations, including the consequences for the UK’s Conservative and Labour parties, EU member states’ polities and the future of the EU itself. Dr Maria Garcia, as the session’s discussant, will then respond to the two presentations before the remainder of the session is dedicated to an interactive Q&A session between the audience and the panel.
Dr Clair Gammage is a Lecturer of Law at the University of Bristol. Her research interests surround the relationship between trade and human rights, and the trade-development nexus. She is a scholar of World Trade Organisation law and has written extensively on the European Union's common commercial policy and development assistance through regional trade agreements. Her present research focus has been on constructing the UK’s potential Brexit trade strategies and in particular, its likely approach to the negotiation of international agreements.
Dr Nicholas Startin is Head of the Department of Politics, Languages & International Studies at the University of Bath. His research interests include the mainstreaming of Euroscepticism, Euroscepticism as a transnational phenomenon, the radical right; Brexit; and French elections and parties.
There is a lift for disabled access within the venue.