Energy transition pathways, scenarios and technologies for a low carbon UK future
This I-SEE talk describes two sets of transition pathways and scenarios relating to the electricity sector and industry respectively.
The UK has placed itself on a transition towards a low carbon economy and society, through the imposition of a legally-binding goal aimed at reducing its ‘greenhouse gas’ (GHG) emissions by at least 80% by 2050 against a 1990 baseline.
The socio-technical insights and opportunities associated with the transition towards a low-carbon future are of critical importance in many industrialised countries. Two sets of transition pathways or scenarios are described that relate to the electricity sector and to industry respectively. Tools such as ‘horizon scanning’ and ‘technology assessment’ were required in order to credibly populate these scenarios.
Transition pathways for the power sector were developed via an innovative collaboration between engineers, social scientists and policy analysts. They included an examination of the potential for increasing the use of low-carbon electricity for heating and transport.
A second set of scenarios, and coupled technology roadmaps, were devised that reflect the transition challenges that will need to be met by industry out to 2050.
Reducing industrial energy demand and improving resource efficiency could make a substantial contribution towards the UK Government’s decarbonisation goal, while simultaneously improving productivity and creating employment opportunities.
These technology roadmaps exhibit quite large uncertainties, and reducing GHG emissions over the long-term will depend critically on the adoption of a small number of key technologies, alongside the ‘decarbonisation’ of electricity supply.
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You are invited to join us for prior discussions and afternoon tea at the Wessex Restaurant from 4pm to 4.25pm